🏀 Kelly NBA 76 — March 14, 2026

A team that hits exactly 76 first holds the edge — unless conditions below apply. Comparing two interpretations of the "both hit 76" rule.

🎯 Kelly Rule (v4 · Updated 2026-03-10)

🟢 Edge — Only one team hit exactly 76; No Edge conditions not met → that team predicted to win

⚪ No Edge — (a) Neither hit 76  |  (b) Both hit 76 (see scenarios)  |  (c) Only the loser hit 76, AND: deficit after > 7

🔵 Scenario A — Next Possession: "Both hit 76" only = No Edge when opponent hits 76 as their very next score after first team

🟢 Scenario B — Any Time: "Both hit 76" = No Edge whenever both teams hit 76 at any point in the game

7
Games
2
🔵 Edge (NP)
2/2
🔵 Correct (NP)
2/2 (100%)
🔵 Win Rate
2
🟢 Edge (AT)
2/2
🟢 Correct (AT)
2/2 (100%)
🟢 Win Rate
# DateMatchupFinalWinnerHit 76 🔵 Next Possession 🟢 Any Time Plays
#1
2026-03-14		BKN @ PHIBKN 97 — PHI 104PHI—⚪ No Edge⚪ No Edge—
#2
2026-03-14		MIL @ ATLMIL 99 — ATL 122ATLATL Q3 07:21 (def before:-13 after:-15)🟢 Edge → ATL ✅🟢 Edge → ATL ✅
▶ plays
TimeTeamScorePlay
Q3 09:06ATLATL:67 MIL:59McCollum 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)
Q3 08:08ATLATL:70 MIL:59McCollum 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Okongwu 3 AST)
Q3 08:04ATLATL:73 MIL:59McCollum 24' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Okongwu 4 AST)
Q3 07:42MILATL:73 MIL:61Porter Jr. 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)
Q3 07:40ATLATL:74 MIL:61Alexander-Walker Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)
⭐ Q3 07:21ATLATL:76 MIL:61McCollum 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)
Q3 07:13MILATL:76 MIL:63Kuzma 7' Driving Hook Shot (11 PTS) (Porter Jr. 6 AST)
Q3 07:01ATLATL:78 MIL:63Daniels 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 9 AST)
Q3 06:51MILATL:78 MIL:65Porter Jr. 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)
#3
2026-03-14		CHA @ SASCHA 102 — SAS 115SASCHA Q3 02:22 (def before:+13 after:+10)⚪ No Edge⚪ No Edge
▶ plays
TimeTeamScorePlay
Q3 03:35CHASAS:82 CHA:71Knueppel Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)
Q3 03:35CHASAS:82 CHA:72Knueppel Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)
Q3 03:35CHASAS:82 CHA:73Knueppel Free Throw 3 of 3 (19 PTS)
Q3 03:04SASSAS:84 CHA:73Bryant 1' Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Fox 4 AST)
Q3 02:30SASSAS:86 CHA:73Kornet Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)
🟩 Q3 02:22CHASAS:86 CHA:76Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (White 2 AST)
Q3 02:05SASSAS:88 CHA:76Kornet 4' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Wembanyama 4 AST)
Q3 01:46CHASAS:88 CHA:77Williams Free Throw 1 of 3 (4 PTS)
Q3 01:46CHASAS:88 CHA:78Williams Free Throw 2 of 3 (5 PTS)
#4
2026-03-14		WAS @ BOSWAS 100 — BOS 111BOSBOS Q3 08:04 (def before:-22 after:-25)🟢 Edge → BOS ✅🟢 Edge → BOS ✅
▶ plays
TimeTeamScorePlay
Q3 09:50WASBOS:70 WAS:45Coulibaly Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)
Q3 09:28WASBOS:70 WAS:48Riley 26' 3PT Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Coulibaly 1 AST)
Q3 09:05WASBOS:70 WAS:49Sarr Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)
Q3 08:51BOSBOS:73 WAS:49White 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Hauser 2 AST)
Q3 08:19WASBOS:73 WAS:51Coulibaly Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (12 PTS) (Young 5 AST)
⭐ Q3 08:04BOSBOS:76 WAS:51Tatum 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)
Q3 07:11BOSBOS:79 WAS:51Hauser 29' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Tatum 6 AST)
Q3 06:37BOSBOS:81 WAS:51Tatum 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS)
Q3 06:28WASBOS:81 WAS:53Johnson 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Young 6 AST)
#5
2026-03-14		ORL @ MIAORL 0 — MIA 0Tie—⚪ No Edge⚪ No Edge—
#6
2026-03-14		DEN @ LALDEN 0 — LAL 0Tie—⚪ No Edge⚪ No Edge—
#7
2026-03-14		SAC @ LACSAC 0 — LAC 0Tie—⚪ No Edge⚪ No Edge—

Generated 2026-03-14 22:30 ET · nba_api · Rule v4